Shifting Expectations

© IRTG “Baltic Peripeties”/ Jan Reinicke

First used in Aristotle’s Poetics, where “peripeteia” refers to the turning point in a tragedy, the IRTG expands the concept to an umbrella term for different kinds of turning points, of radical change and upheaval. Understanding peripety through the notion of expectation opens new options for cross-disciplinary research into social and cultural dynamics. It touches on a core characteristic of narrative itself. Experiencing a peripety means admitting that assumptions about the anticipated course of events were misleading. The narrative breach – “when events occur contrary to expectation [παρὰ τὴν δόξαν] yet on account of one another” (Aristotle: Poet. 1452a, 2-3) – brings to light the implicit rules on which the story is based. A ‘falsifiable’ expectation can even be an essential component of a narrative system as a whole. Collective expectations accumulated over long periods of time may have permeated one’s lifeworld to such an extent that they are barely perceptible. Within the lifeworld, a peripety is something that always comes too early, too unexpectedly. It might lead to or result from a crisis and involves an imperative to actively relate oneself to this transformation. A peripety can reveal unspoken prefigurations of decisions; it can bring to light latent expectations by proving them wrong. Reinhart Koselleck has identified the nexus of experience and expectation as key to understanding large-scale historical change. He has shown that for pre-modern societies, societal expectations rely on experiences passed on through generations: expectation and experience are understood as interdependent. New experience arises out of the unexpected – both realms can drift apart, but never become fully separate:

It takes breaking points, zones of transition and inversion, undefined upheavals, or epochal thresholds to bring to light what had been expected but had eluded perception. Peripeties can enforce analytical shifts that evoke tacit knowledge including unspoken norms, values, and habits that remain below the threshold of awareness in routine circumstances but are made explicit and brought into question in the situations of crisis and uncertainty. A peripety can also be part of the horizon of expectation itself, as the ‘cliffhanger’ structure illustrates. In imagining the continuation of a serial episode‘s plotline, multiple breaches of expectations can be anticipated. Extended to comparative linguistic approaches, we identify shifting expectations on the level of signification/designation, especially useful in the multilingual Baltic Sea Region. This research frame puts new emphasis on the latency of expectations potentially brought to light in ‘peripetic’ zones. It is this inverting narrative dynamic that distinguishes peripeties from ‘crises’, ‘Bruchzonen’, or ‘critical junctures’. However, significant overlaps of these concepts exist in their approaches to contingency. The IRTG inquires about the discourses, narratives, and rhetoric of reversal as tools to identify what it was that had been (or still is) expected.

FURTHER READING
  • Aristotle. “Poetics,” translated and edited by Stephen Halliwell, in Aristotle, Longinus, Demetrius. Poetics. Longinus: On the Sublime. Demetrius: On Style (= Loeb Classical Library 199). Translated by Stephen Halliwell, W. Hamilton Fyfe, Doreen C. Innes, W. Rhys Roberts, revised by Donald A. Russell. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1995, 1-143. DOI: 10.4159/DLCL.aristotle-poetics.1995.
  • Blumenberg, Hans. Die Lesbarkeit der Welt. Frankfurt a.M.: Suhrkamp, 1981.
  • Blumenberg, Hans. Theorie der Lebenswelt, ed. Manfred Sommer. Berlin: Suhrkamp, 2010.
  • Boitani, Piero. Anagnorisis: Scenes and Themes of Recognition and Revelation in Western Literature. Leiden/Boston: Brill Rodopi, 2021, 1-38.
  • Capoccia, Giovanni and R. Daniel Kelemen. “The Study of Critical Junctures: Theory, Narrative, and Counterfactuals in Historical Institutionalism,” World Politics 59, 3 (2007):341-369. DOI: doi:10.1017/S0043887100020852.
  • Collier, David and Gerardo L. Munck, eds. Critical Junctures and Historical Legacies. Insights and Methods for Comparative Social Science. Lanham: Rowman & Littlefield, 2022.
  • Currie, Mark. The Unexpected. Narrative temporality and the Philosophy of Surprise. Edinburgh: Edinburgh University Press, 2013.
  • Godart, Simon. “Siculus mare. Times, Tides and Tragedies,” in Baltic Peripeties – The Power of Narration and the Making of Regions, ed. Eckhard Schumacher and Cordelia Heß (= TRANSitions. Transdisciplinary, Transmedial and Transnational Cultural Studies 8). Göttingen: Vandenhoeck & Ruprecht, 2025, 41-62. DOI: https://doi.org/10.14220/9783737017008.41
  • Grishakova, Marina. “The Fascination of Failure: On Predictability, Unpredictability and Postdictability in Art,” in Puzzling Stories: The Aesthetic Appeal of Cognitive Challenge in Film, Television and Literature, ed. Steven Willemsen and Miklós Kiss. New York/Oxford: Berghahn Books, 2022, 306-325. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/9781800735927-015.
  • Herman, David. “Toward a Transmedial Narratology,” in Narrative across Media: The Language of Storytelling, ed. Marie-Laure Ryan, Lincoln: University of Nebraska Press, 2004, 47–75.
  • Jordheim, Helge. “Natural Histories for the Anthropocene: Koselleck’s Theories and the Possibility of a History of Lifetimes,” History and Theory 61,3 (2022): 391-425. DOI: 10.1111/hith.12268.
  • Kermode, Frank. The Sense of an Ending. Studies in the Theory of Fiction with a New Epilogue. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2000.
  • Koselleck, Reinhart. Vergangene Zukunft. Zur Semantik geschichtlicher Zeiten. Frankfurt a.M.: Suhrkamp, 1979.
  • Prince, Gerald. A Dictionary of Narratology. Lincoln: University of Nebraska Press, 1989.
  • Schiedermair, Joachim. “Peripeteia: Ibsen’s History in Hedda Gabler and the Pretenders,Ibsen Studies 23,1 (2023): 94-134. DOI: 10.1080/15021866.2023.2214999. Sobota 2023
  • Shklovsky, Viktor. “On the Connection between Devices of Syuzhet Construction and General Stylistic Devices,” trans. Jane Knox, in Russian Formalism, ed. Stephen Bann and John E. Bowlt. New York: Barnes & Noble, 1973. 48–72.
Projects within this research frame
Dr. des. Victoria Oertel (Philosophy)
Health as a Happy Ending? Potentials of a Narratological Interpretation of the Concept of Disease Using the Example of the Conceptions of Disease and Health before and after the Accession of the GDR to the Federal Republic of Germany
Dr. des. Nina Pilz (German literature)
Pandemic Role Models, Negative Pioneers and World Champions. The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Journalistic Spatial Narratives for the Cases of Sweden and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania
Dr Benjamin Schweitzer (Discourse linguistics)
Adaptation – Konstruktion – Narration. Untersuchungen zur finnischen Musikfachsprache aus historischer, struktureller und diskurslinguistischer Perspektive
Dr. des. Laura Tack (Medieval and Early Modern History)
“A great and unheard-of sea wonder” Narratives and perceptions of historical storm surges in the southwestern Baltic Sea from the 14th to 17th century
Benjamin August Barkved (Nordic literature)
The Coastal Town as a Topos in the Norwegian Novel of the Late 19th Century
Tim Senkbeil (German literature)
Time and the Formation of Time in German Literature Dealing with 1989 and the Aftermath
Lea Garcia (Museum studies)
Negotiating a New Take on History. Narrations of the Soviet Past in Lithuanian Museums
Henriette Hellinger (Medieval and Early Modern History)
Bodies, Violence, Gender Roles: Shifting Expectations of Clerical Behaviour in Medieval Scandinavia
Charlotte Steinert (Political science)
From Pariah to Partner? Shifting Narratives about Swedish Right-wing Populists
Tatsiana Varabei (Heritage studies)
The Baroque Architectural Heritage of the Former Grand Duchy of Lithuania: Persistence, Transformation, and Demolition, 1772–1918

Further Research Frames

Transregional Resonances

Turning points must be considered within a network of transregional dynamics, as narratives that foster (or break) expectations and circulate both regionally and globally.
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Narrative Escalation

Conflict is a genuinely narrative process. Narrative serves as a prism to re-evaluate processes of both escalation and de-escalation, both within and outside of storytelling.
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Embodiments

Since the 19th century, the body has played an increasingly important role in the formation of social identities.
More information

Conflicting Versions

Peripeties, as manifestations of narrative conflict, unfold in different versions, e.g. between the messenger report, the tragic hero, and the audience.
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Biographies

With an emphasis on transregional biographies, the IRTG stresses the dimensions of experience, individual knowledge, and the relevance of day-to-day perspectives on peripeties.
More information
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